Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 1.613473 1.752525 1.899997 2.068382 2.255734 2.458251 2.694338
2026-02-08 1.381704 1.568619 1.778102 2.031528 2.331478 2.677223 3.108874
2026-02-15 1.238611 1.452172 1.701430 2.016341 2.407122 2.880787 3.505539
2026-02-22 1.160469 1.397203 1.682996 2.057545 2.541615 3.154720 4.004019
2026-03-01 1.075687 1.323231 1.630391 2.045282 2.600005 3.329272 4.383133
2026-03-08 0.998395 1.250699 1.571174 2.015451 2.627301 3.458573 4.706279
2026-03-15 0.918603 1.168271 1.491648 1.949881 2.597042 3.501543 4.904846
2026-03-22 0.876659 1.132184 1.469809 1.959143 2.668545 3.689966 5.331463
2026-03-29 0.847706 1.111076 1.465821 1.991382 2.773148 3.932518 5.862966
2026-04-05 0.818871 1.087890 1.456707 2.014350 2.864028 4.159803 6.391914
2026-04-12 0.789725 1.062238 1.441969 2.027037 2.938754 4.366264 6.906397
2026-04-19 0.758567 1.031789 1.418150 2.023750 2.987142 4.532869 7.368388
2026-04-26 0.717146 0.985073 1.368893 1.979753 2.969600 4.593126 7.655126
2026-05-03 0.683189 0.947581 1.331242 1.951202 2.974567 4.690890 8.021055
2026-05-10 0.655917 0.918558 1.304585 1.937934 3.003083 4.830378 8.480654
2026-05-17 0.643846 0.911558 1.310811 1.977375 3.122765 5.140161 9.310844
2026-05-24 0.620402 0.886083 1.286968 1.965744 3.152717 5.289039 9.833194
2026-05-31 0.594741 0.856020 1.254370 1.937355 3.150555 5.377074 10.237625
2026-06-07 0.563185 0.815515 1.203358 1.874919 3.082716 5.334004 10.352176
2026-06-14 0.549054 0.801698 1.194400 1.883740 3.145131 5.548107 11.064955
2026-06-21 0.540300 0.795941 1.198085 1.914440 3.249984 5.855344 12.034738
2026-06-28 0.530202 0.787547 1.196929 1.936308 3.339358 6.139097 12.991502
2026-07-05 0.518727 0.776415 1.190617 1.948386 3.410360 6.390795 13.907903